Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.