J1 League | Gameweek 19

Jul 2, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Reysol
1 - 2
Kashima Antlers

Muto (63')
Kamijima (15')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Min-tae (45+2'), Stum (82' pen.)
Sekigawa (23')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 44%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Kashima Antlers
28.5% ( -1.12)	27.5% ( 0.26)	44% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 47.16% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.93% (

-1.4)

58.07% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.26% (

-1.11)

78.74% (

1.11)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93% (

-1.62)

36.07% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15% (

-1.68)

72.85% (

1.68)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.77% (

-0.2)

26.23% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.67% (

-0.26)

61.33% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 28.5%

Kashima Antlers 44%

Draw 27.5%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.5%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.59) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 44%