Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 27.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 1-0 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.