Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.