J1 League | Gameweek 27

Aug 26, 2022 at 11am UK

Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
1 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Honda (17')
Miyashiro (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Croux (26')
Maejima (31'), Miya (63'), Mary (90+1')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
48.13% ( 0.13)	27.84% ( -0.11)	24.03% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.07% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.36% (

0.34)

61.64% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.53% (

0.25)

81.47% (

-0.25)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

0.22)

25.8% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

0.29)

60.75% (

-0.29)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.05% (

0.18)

41.95% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.61% (

0.15)

78.39% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 48.13%

Avispa Fukuoka 24.03%

Draw 27.83%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 48.13%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.03%