J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 10, 2022 at 11am UK
 

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
Kyoto Sanga

Yamagishi (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

Last Six:
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League

Kyoto Sanga

Last Six:
    Last Game: Urawa 2-2 Kyoto Sanga
    Wednesday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.64%.

    The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.

    Result
    Avispa FukuokaDrawKyoto Sanga
    47.33% (-0.23 -0.23)29.03% (0.026 0.03)23.64% (0.203 0.2)
    Both teams to score 39.9% (0.106 0.11)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    34.51% (0.037999999999997 0.04)65.49% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    15.77% (0.026 0.03)84.23% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
    Avispa Fukuoka Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    71.99% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)28.01% (0.099 0.1)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    36.34% (-0.128 -0.13)63.66% (0.128 0.13)
    Kyoto Sanga Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    55.43% (0.22499999999999 0.22)44.57% (-0.224 -0.22)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    19.41% (0.18 0.18)80.59% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
    Score Analysis
        Avispa Fukuoka 47.33%
        Kyoto Sanga 23.63%
        Draw 29.01%
    Avispa FukuokaDrawKyoto Sanga
    1-0 @ 15.89% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
    2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
    2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
    3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
    3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
    3-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
    4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
    4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
    Other @ 1.54%
    Total : 47.33%
    		1-1 @ 12.83% (0.02 0.02)
    0-0 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
    2-2 @ 3.3% (0.017 0.02)
    Other @ 0.4%
    Total : 29.01%
    		0-1 @ 10.08% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
    1-2 @ 5.19% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
    0-2 @ 4.08% (0.044 0.04)
    1-3 @ 1.4% (0.02 0.02)
    0-3 @ 1.1% (0.019 0.02)
    Other @ 1.8%
    Total : 23.63%

    Head to Head
    Apr 29, 2022 7am
    Kyoto Sanga
    0-1
    Avispa Fukuoka

    Kaneko (52'), Appiah Tawiah (74')
    Yamagishi (12')
    Shichi (61')