Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 85.25%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 4-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Gamba Osaka
85.25% ( 0.65)	10.2% ( -0.34)	4.55% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 42.61% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.93% (

0.11)

30.06% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.73% (

0.14)

51.27% (

-0.14)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.1% (

0.13)

4.89% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.34% (

0.4)

19.65% (

-0.41)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.8% (

-1.13)

55.19% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12% (

-0.68)

88% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 85.25%

Gamba Osaka 4.55%

Draw 10.2%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Gamba Osaka
3-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 85.25%	1-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.48% Total : 10.2%	0-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.5% Total : 4.55%