Club Friendlies 1
Jul 25, 2022 11.00am
6
2
HT : 4 1
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Pablo Sarabia 28' goal
  • Neymar 32' goal
  • Nuno Mendes 37' goal
  • Lionel Messi 39' goal
  • Neymar 60' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 86' goal
  • goal Keisuke Kurokawa 34'
  • goal Hiroto Yamami 70'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 23, 2022 11.00am
PSG 3 - 0 Urawa

Gamba Osaka

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 85.25%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 4-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 85.25% (+0.66)
Draw 10.2% (-0.35)
Gamba Osaka 4.55% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.61% (-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.93% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 30.06% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 48.73% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 51.27% (-0.15)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 95.1% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 4.89% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 80.34% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 19.65% (-0.41)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 44.8% (-1.13)
Under 0.5 55.19% (+1.13)
Over 1.5 12% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 88% (+0.68)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 85.25%
Draw 10.2%
Gamba Osaka 4.55%
Paris Saint-Germain
3-0 @ 12.36% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 12.29% (+0.14)
4-0 @ 9.33% (+0.28)
1-0 @ 8.15% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.35% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.17)
5-0 @ 5.63% (+0.22)
4-1 @ 5.54% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
6-0 @ 2.83% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.11)
6-1 @ 1.68% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.07)
7-0 @ 1.22% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 85.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.84% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 2.7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.17% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 10.2%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 1.61% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 1.44% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 4.55%