Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Urawa Red Diamonds win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.