| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 86.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 3.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 4-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Troyes |
| 86.93% ( | 9.28% ( | 3.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.43% ( | 29.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.31% ( | 50.69% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.49% ( | 4.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.49% ( | 18.51% ( |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.92% ( | 58.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.36% ( | 89.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Troyes |
| 3-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 12.59% ( 4-0 @ 10.08% 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 5-0 @ 6.25% ( 4-1 @ 5.48% ( 5-1 @ 3.4% ( 6-0 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 6-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 7-0 @ 1.43% ( 5-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 86.92% | 1-1 @ 4.42% ( 0-0 @ 2.62% ( 2-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.39% Total : 9.28% | 0-1 @ 1.43% ( 1-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.16% Total : 3.79% |