| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Troyes |
| 57.24% | 23.61% | 19.14% |
| Both teams to score 48.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% | 51.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% | 73.16% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% | 17.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.61% | 48.39% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% | 41.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% | 77.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 5.59% 4-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.23% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.14% |