| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lorient |
| 59.54% | 22.39% | 18.07% |
| Both teams to score 50.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% | 47.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% | 70.09% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% | 15.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.21% | 44.79% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.07% | 76.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.21% Total : 59.52% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.75% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.07% |