Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Nice |
| 38.68% | 25.86% | 35.46% |
| Both teams to score 54.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% | 49.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% | 71.64% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% | 25.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% | 59.89% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% | 26.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% | 62.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.46% |