Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Nice |
38.68% | 25.86% | 35.46% |
Both teams to score 54.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% | 49.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% | 71.64% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% | 25.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% | 59.89% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% | 26.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% | 62.33% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |