Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Mar 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 1
Nice

Milik (45+3' pen.), Bakambu (89')
Caleta-Car (60'), Saliba (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lemina (90+1')
Bard (45'), Lemina (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

Nice

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67
5	Rennes	38	42	66

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nice
61.11%	23.08%	15.81%

Both teams to score 43.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.86%

54.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.44%

75.55%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65%

17.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.26%

47.74%

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.14%

46.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.62%

82.38%

Score Analysis

Marseille 61.11%

Nice 15.81%

Draw 23.08%

Marseille	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 14.24% 2-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.41% Total : 61.11%	1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.58% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 4.09% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.03% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.81%