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Nice
Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Feb 9, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Marseille

Nice
4 - 1
Marseille

Gouiri (10'), Kluivert (29', 49'), Delort (61')
Kluivert (32'), Daniliuc (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bard (3' og.)
Sampaoli (34'), Balerdi (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Nice 1-1 Marseille (Nice wins on penalties)

There is no question that Marseille have plenty of individual quality, but Les Aiglons have done a fantastic job at stifling some of the top strikers in France this season, and we expect them to be stubborn and sharp at the back, which could frustrate Les Olympiens. These teams have similar qualities defensively, so we do not expect there to be a ton of chances either way, but Nice have shown to be a little more composed and consistent of late in spite of their defeat to Clermont last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawMarseille
35.99%25.28%38.73%
Both teams to score 56.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98%47.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73%69.27%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54%25.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.29%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04%23.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8%58.2%
Score Analysis
    Nice 35.99%
    Marseille 38.73%
    Draw 25.28%
NiceDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.35%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.99%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.72%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.73%

How you voted: Nice vs Marseille

Nice
49.4%
Draw
28.6%
Marseille
22.1%
77
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
1-1
Marseille
Gouiri (6')
Guessand (31'), Todibo (90+2')
Payet (42')
Lopez (90+1'), Kamara (90+3')
Mar 20, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 30
Nice
3-0
Marseille
Thuram (34'), Gouiri (74'), Claude-Maurice (90+1')
Benitez (90')

Caleta-Car (78')
Feb 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Marseille
3-2
Nice
Gonzalez (14'), Khaoui (42', 53')
Kamara (44'), Sakai (90+3')
Gouiri (47'), Sellouki (87')
Lees-Melou (73')
Apr 26, 2020 7pm
Aug 28, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 3
Nice
1-2
Marseille
Cyprien (66' pen.)
Lees-Melou (94')
Benedetto (31'), Payet (73' pen.)
Benedetto (18')
rhs 2.0
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