Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.72%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Angers |
| 65.39% | 21.66% | 12.94% |
| Both teams to score 41.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.02% | 53.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% | 75.42% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% | 15.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.99% | 45.01% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.97% | 51.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.64% | 85.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 14.89% 2-0 @ 13.72% 2-1 @ 9.23% 3-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.91% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.64% Total : 65.39% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 3.11% Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.44% 1-2 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.31% Total : 12.94% |