Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
38.32% | 26.67% | 35.01% |
Both teams to score 51.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.9% | 53.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.32% | 74.67% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% | 26.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% | 62.32% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% | 28.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% | 64.82% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |