Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Jan 22, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
0 - 2
Marseille

Danso (20'), Medina (32'), Sotoca (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Payet (34' pen.), Bakambu (77')
Peres (71'), Lirola (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Marseille
29.66%	26.3%	44.04%

Both teams to score 51.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.97%

53.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.38%

74.62%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48%

32.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.95%

69.05%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.05%

23.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.83%

58.17%

Score Analysis

Lens 29.66%

Marseille 44.04%

Draw 26.3%

Lens	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 4.91% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.66%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.04%

How you voted: Lens vs Marseille

Lens

26.7%

Draw

28.3%

Marseille

45.0%