Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Troyes |
| 46.8% | 26.37% | 26.83% |
| Both teams to score 49.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% | 54.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% | 76.08% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% | 23.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% | 57.36% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.36% | 35.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.59% | 72.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.83% |