Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
45.01% | 25.96% | 29.03% |
Both teams to score 52.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.04% | 51.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% | 73.7% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% | 23.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% | 56.83% |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.58% | 32.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.06% | 68.94% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |