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AJ Auxerre
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Lyon
Marseille
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Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Feb 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Marseille

Lyon
2 - 1
Marseille

Shaqiri (76'), Dembele (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guendouzi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Lyon 0-0 Marseille

Marseille will hope to see their affinity for draws become a thing of the past following the international break, but Sampaoli is under pressure to find the right formula for his side's attacking troubles. A confidence-depleted Lyon can at least fall back on their solid home record and recent spate of strong results against Marseille, so we expect defences to take centre stage as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMarseille
40.73%25.76%33.5%
Both teams to score 54.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47%49.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44%71.56%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67%58.32%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86%28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18%63.81%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 40.73%
    Marseille 33.5%
    Draw 25.75%
LyonDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.73%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.5%

How you voted: Lyon vs Marseille

Lyon
42.1%
Draw
29.2%
Marseille
28.7%
202
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
1-1
Lyon
Milik (44' pen.)
Kamara (64'), Payet (78'), Gonzalez (81'), Gueye (90+5')
Toko Ekambi (21')
Paqueta (42'), Mendes (78'), Depay (81')
Paqueta (71')
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 6
Lyon
1-1
Marseille
Aouar (28' pen.)
Guimaraes (86')
Payet (16')
Caleta-Car (4'), Bamba (45+4')
Payet (19')
Apr 19, 2020 8pm
Feb 12, 2020 8.05pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
1-0
Marseille
Aouar (81')
Tete (17'), Caqueret (89')

Strootman (37'), Sanson (49'), Sakai (69')
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 13
Marseille
2-1
Lyon
Payet (18' pen., 39')
Sarr (10'), Alvaro (46'), Rongier (83')
Alvaro (64')
Dembele (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Toulouse156361717021
9Auxerre146262121020
10Reims145452018219
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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