Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Feb 1, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
2 - 1
Marseille

Shaqiri (76'), Dembele (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guendouzi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Marseille
40.73%	25.76%	33.5%

Both teams to score 54.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.47%

49.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.44%

71.56%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95%

24.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67%

58.32%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86%

28.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18%

63.81%

Score Analysis

Lyon 40.73%

Marseille 33.5%

Draw 25.75%

Lyon	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.73%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.5%

How you voted: Lyon vs Marseille

Lyon

42.1%

Draw

29.2%

Marseille

28.7%