Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Jan 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
1 - 0
St Etienne

Dembele (15' pen.)
Da Silva (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gourna-Douath (19'), Camara (42'), Macon (50'), Thioub (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Saint-Etienne
62.58%	20.37%	17.05%

Both teams to score 54.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.28%

40.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.89%

63.11%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.56%

12.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.62%

38.39%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.79%

37.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26%

74%

Score Analysis

Lyon 62.58%

Saint-Etienne 17.05%

Draw 20.37%

Lyon	Draw	Saint-Etienne
2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.6% Total : 62.58%	1-1 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.37%	1-2 @ 4.72% 0-1 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.62% 1-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.05%

How you voted: Lyon vs St Etienne

Lyon

91.7%

Draw

6.6%

Saint-Etienne

1.7%