Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.