Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 0
Salzburg

David (31')
Djalo (14'), Xeka (67'), Bamba (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nissen (8'), Seiwald (35'), Kjaergaard (90'), Adeyemi (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lille and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
37.68%	28.3%	34.02%

Both teams to score 46.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.55%

59.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.18%

79.82%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58%

30.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38%

66.63%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.23%

32.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68%

69.32%

Score Analysis

Lille 37.68%

Red Bull Salzburg 34.02%

Draw 28.3%

Lille	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.68%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.3%	0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.02%

How you voted: Lille vs Salzburg

Lille

38.8%

Draw

26.0%

Red Bull Salzburg

35.2%