Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 4, 2021 at 6pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
2 - 1
Troyes

David (48'), Giraudon (85' og.)
Xeka (41'), Yilmaz (66'), Onana (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dingome (6')
Kouame (22'), Giraudon (33'), Salmier (33'), Dingome (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Lille	Draw	Troyes
60.42%	23.84%	15.74%

Both teams to score 41.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.07%

56.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.16%

77.84%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.38%

18.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.07%

49.93%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.37%

48.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.31%

83.69%

Score Analysis

Lille 60.42%

Troyes 15.74%

Draw 23.84%

Lille	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 15.22% 2-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 9.22% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 5.17% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.8% Total : 60.42%	1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 3.32% Other @ 0.48% Total : 23.84%	0-1 @ 6.53% 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.95% Total : 15.74%

How you voted: Lille vs Troyes

Lille

80.5%

Draw

14.6%

Troyes

4.9%