Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 56.49% | 23.29% | 20.22% |
| Both teams to score 51.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% | 48.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% | 70.76% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% | 17.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.85% | 47.15% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% | 38.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.89% | 75.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 0.95% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.96% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.22% |