Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Marseille |
41.99% | 28.1% | 29.91% |
Both teams to score 46.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.39% | 59.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.06% | 79.94% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% | 28.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.34% | 63.66% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.2% | 35.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.43% | 72.57% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |