Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 29, 2021 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
2 - 1
Lille

Adeyemi (35' pen., 53' pen.)
Adeyemi (54'), Capaldo (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yilmaz (62')
Botman (30'), Xeka (45'), Yilmaz (51'), Fonte (66'), Bamba (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Lille
49.06%	21.54%	29.4%

Both teams to score 67.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.59%

31.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.12%

52.87%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61%

13.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.7%

40.29%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24%

21.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06%

54.93%

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 49.06%

Lille 29.4%

Draw 21.54%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Lille
2-1 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 5.89% 1-0 @ 5.85% 3-2 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.03% 4-2 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.22% 4-3 @ 1.17% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.06%	1-1 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 6.85% 0-0 @ 2.91% 3-3 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.54%	1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-2 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.33% 1-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.44% Total : 29.4%