Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 27.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Lille |
27.46% | 28.22% | 44.32% |
Both teams to score 44.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.99% | 61.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19% | 81% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.47% | 38.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% | 75.28% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.56% | 27.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.08% | 62.91% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.46% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 13.67% 0-2 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-3 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.78% Total : 44.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |