Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 27.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lille |
| 27.46% | 28.22% | 44.32% |
| Both teams to score 44.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.99% | 61.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19% | 81% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.47% | 38.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% | 75.28% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% | 27.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% | 62.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.46% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 13.67% 0-2 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-3 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.78% Total : 44.31% |