Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 22, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 1
Lorient

Savanier (50'), Mavididi (58'), Delort (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bertaud (21' og.)
Lemoine (49'), Monconduit (67'), Mendes (84'), Hergault (87')
Mendes (86'), Hergault (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lorient
42.39%	27.17%	30.43%

Both teams to score 49.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.9%

56.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.83%

77.17%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84%

26.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76%

61.23%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45%

33.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.82%

70.18%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 42.38%

Lorient 30.43%

Draw 27.17%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.38%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.43%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lorient

Montpellier HSC

47.2%

Draw

33.3%

Lorient

19.4%