Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 25.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lorient |
| 47.01% | 27.05% | 25.95% |
| Both teams to score 46.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.22% | 57.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% | 78.52% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% | 24.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% | 59.11% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% | 38.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.21% | 74.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% 2-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.37% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.05% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.62% Total : 25.95% |