Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lorient |
37.16% | 27.32% | 35.51% |
Both teams to score 49.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.32% | 55.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.17% | 76.83% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% | 28.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.25% | 64.75% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.11% | 29.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.01% | 65.98% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |