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Sevilla logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 14, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Red Bull Salzburg

Sevilla
1 - 1
Salzburg

Rakitic (42' pen.)
Carlos (13'), En-Nesyri (26'), Rakitic (65'), Delaney (82'), Navas (84')
En-Nesyri (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sucic (21' pen.)
Seiwald (15'), Capaldo (84'), Camara (90+3'), Okafor (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.64%) and 3-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRed Bull Salzburg
46.23%20.02%33.75%
Both teams to score 76.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.53%21.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.84%40.15%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.44%10.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.71%34.28%
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31%14.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14%42.86%
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 46.23%
    Red Bull Salzburg 33.75%
    Draw 20.02%
SevillaDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-2 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 3.92%
1-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 3.17%
4-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.94%
4-3 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 46.23%
2-2 @ 7.21%
1-1 @ 6.69%
3-3 @ 3.46%
0-0 @ 1.55%
4-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.02%
1-2 @ 6.41%
2-3 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 4.1%
0-1 @ 2.97%
0-2 @ 2.85%
2-4 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.82%
3-4 @ 1.66%
Other @ 5.15%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Salzburg

Sevilla
78.4%
Draw
9.1%
Red Bull Salzburg
12.5%
518
rhs 2.0
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