Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
1 - 1
Salzburg

Rakitic (42' pen.)
Carlos (13'), En-Nesyri (26'), Rakitic (65'), Delaney (82'), Navas (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sucic (21' pen.)
Seiwald (15'), Capaldo (84'), Camara (90+3'), Okafor (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.64%) and 3-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
46.23%	20.02%	33.75%

Both teams to score 76.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.53%

21.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.84%

40.15%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.44%

10.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.71%

34.28%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31%

14.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.14%

42.86%

Score Analysis

Sevilla 46.23%

Red Bull Salzburg 33.75%

Draw 20.02%

Sevilla	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-2 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.92% 1-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.94% 4-3 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.43% 5-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 4.73% Total : 46.23%	2-2 @ 7.21% 1-1 @ 6.69% 3-3 @ 3.46% 0-0 @ 1.55% 4-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.02%	1-2 @ 6.41% 2-3 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-1 @ 2.97% 0-2 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.82% 3-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 5.15% Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Salzburg

Sevilla

78.4%

Draw

9.1%

Red Bull Salzburg

12.5%