Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Lille |
33.51% | 27.69% | 38.8% |
Both teams to score 48.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.71% | 57.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.87% | 78.13% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68% | 32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.54% | 68.47% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% | 28.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% | 64.52% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.5% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |