Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lens |
| 30.76% | 27.83% | 41.4% |
| Both teams to score 47.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.58% | 58.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.98% | 79.01% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% | 34.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% | 71.23% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% | 27.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% | 63.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.23% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 12.28% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.83% Total : 41.4% |