Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 41.51% | 26.87% | 31.63% |
| Both teams to score 50.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% | 54.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% | 75.89% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% | 60.89% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% | 31.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% | 68.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.63% |