Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
| 49.14% | 24.47% | 26.4% |
| Both teams to score 54.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% | 47.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% | 69.63% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.66% | 19.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.88% | 51.12% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% | 32.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% | 68.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.05% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.4% |