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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lens logo

Marseille
2 - 3
Lens

Payet (33', 45+2' pen.)
Gueye (6'), Guendouzi (7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sotoca (9' pen.), Frankowski (27'), Said (71')
Said (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawLens
50.12%25.33%24.55%
Both teams to score 50.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62%52.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94%74.06%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08%20.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36%53.64%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72%36.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94%73.06%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 50.12%
    Lens 24.55%
    Draw 25.32%
MarseilleDrawLens
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 9.29%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 50.12%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lens

Marseille
80.3%
Draw
15.2%
Lens
4.5%
66
rhs 2.0


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