Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
44.57% | 27.19% | 28.24% |
Both teams to score 47.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.95% | 57.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% | 77.94% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% | 25.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% | 60.31% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.27% | 35.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.5% | 72.49% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.99% Total : 28.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |