Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
| 44.57% | 27.19% | 28.24% |
| Both teams to score 47.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% | 57.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% | 77.94% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% | 25.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% | 60.31% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.27% | 35.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.5% | 72.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.99% Total : 28.24% |