Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 16, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
1 - 1
Marseille

Anjorin (89')
Beka Beka (22'), Tiknizyan (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Under (59' pen.)
Kamara (37'), Rongier (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Marseille
41.92%	24.14%	33.94%

Both teams to score 60.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.95%

42.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.55%

64.45%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75%

20.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.41%

52.59%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71%

24.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33%

58.67%

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 41.92%

Marseille 33.94%

Draw 24.13%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 8.88% 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.95% Total : 41.92%	1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 7.87% 0-1 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.94%