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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Saint-Etienne

Marseille
3 - 1
St Etienne

Guendouzi (23'), Gerson (51'), Under (68')
Gueye (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kolodziejczak (32')
Khazri (42'), Macon (49'), Camara (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawSaint-Etienne
54.04%25.1%20.86%
Both teams to score 46.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04%54.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76%76.24%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67%20.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28%52.72%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.7%41.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.18%77.82%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 54.03%
    Saint-Etienne 20.86%
    Draw 25.09%
MarseilleDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 5%
4-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 54.03%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 8.4%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.42%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 20.86%

How you voted: Marseille vs St Etienne

Marseille
86.5%
Draw
7.7%
Saint-Etienne
5.8%
52
Head to Head
May 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 36
St Etienne
1-0
Marseille
Nordin (43')
Kolodziejczak (76')

Thauvin (63'), Balerdi (67'), Gonzalez (85')
Sep 17, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 1
Marseille
0-2
St Etienne

Sakai (30'), Sanson (45+1')
Hamouma (6'), Bouanga (75')
Macon (21'), Gourna-Douath (85')
Feb 5, 2020 8.15pm
Gameweek 23
St Etienne
0-2
Marseille

Fofana (61'), Khazri (65')
Payet (7'), Radonjic (85')
Amavi (25'), Radonjic (49'), Rongier (57'), Ali Mohamed (65')
Sep 1, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
1-0
St Etienne
Benedetto (33')
Sanson (60'), Amavi (66'), Lopez (87'), Khaoui (88'), Strootman (92')

Moukoudi (14'), Perrin (73')
Mar 3, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
2-0
St Etienne
Balotelli (12'), Thauvin (21' pen.)
Sakai (5'), Sarr (25')

Debuchy (19'), Khazri (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Lens156631914524
7Nice146532617923
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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