Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
54.04% | 25.1% | 20.86% |
Both teams to score 46.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.04% | 54.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.76% | 76.24% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.67% | 20.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.28% | 52.72% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.7% | 41.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.18% | 77.82% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5% 4-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.03% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |