Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 1
St Etienne

Guendouzi (23'), Gerson (51'), Under (68')
Gueye (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kolodziejczak (32')
Khazri (42'), Macon (49'), Camara (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Saint-Etienne
54.04%	25.1%	20.86%

Both teams to score 46.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.04%

54.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.76%

76.24%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67%

20.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.28%

52.72%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.7%

41.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18%

77.82%

Score Analysis

Marseille 54.03%

Saint-Etienne 20.86%

Draw 25.09%

Marseille	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5% 4-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.03%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.86%

How you voted: Marseille vs St Etienne

Marseille

86.5%

Draw

7.7%

Saint-Etienne

5.8%