Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2021 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 1
Lille

Marquinhos (74'), di Maria (88')
Neymar (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

David (31')
Mandava (5'), Yilmaz (36'), Sanches (57'), Celik (63'), Grbic (85')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lille had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lille
58.84%	22.71%	18.45%

Both teams to score 50.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32%

48.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21%

70.79%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79%

16.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.3%

45.7%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.69%

40.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.06%

76.93%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 58.83%

Lille 18.45%

Draw 22.71%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 11.88% 2-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 58.83%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.71%	0-1 @ 5.94% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.45%