Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 25.24% | 23.74% | 51.01% |
| Both teams to score 56.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% | 45.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% | 67.53% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% | 31.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% | 68.22% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% | 17.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.56% | 48.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 6.47% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.69% Total : 25.25% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 5.57% 0-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.41% 0-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.01% |