Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 9.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 73.98% | 16.04% | 9.99% |
| Both teams to score 49.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.67% | 37.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.45% | 59.55% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.35% | 8.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.18% | 29.82% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.33% | 45.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.54% | 81.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-0 @ 11.83% 1-0 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 7.57% 4-0 @ 5.91% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.97% 5-0 @ 2.89% 5-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.82% 6-0 @ 1.18% 6-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.38% Total : 73.97% | 1-1 @ 7.58% 0-0 @ 3.95% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.04% | 0-1 @ 3.1% 1-2 @ 2.97% 0-2 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.76% Total : 9.99% |