Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Mbappe (9'), Messi (67', 74' pen.)
Gueye (48'), Hakimi (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Silva (28'), Mukiele (57')
Orban (18'), Simakan (38'), Adams (84')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 14.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	RB Leipzig
62.92%	22.27%	14.81%

Both teams to score 44.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23%

52.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6%

74.39%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76%

16.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.23%

45.76%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.57%

47.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.19%

82.81%

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 62.91%

RB Leipzig 14.81%

Draw 22.26%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 14% 2-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 5.75% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.98% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.78% Total : 62.91%	1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.26%	0-1 @ 5.75% 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.06% Total : 14.81%