Champions League
Oct 19, 2021 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 9' goal
  • Idrissa Gueye 48' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 64' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 67' goal
  • Lionel Messi 74' goal
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 18'
  • goal Andre Silva 28'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 38'
  • goal Nordi Mukiele 57'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 84'

Paris Saint-Germain vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
PSG 2 - 0 Man City

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Brugge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 14.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 62.92%
Draw 22.27%
RB Leipzig 14.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.03%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.23%
Under 2.5 52.76%
Over 3.5 25.6%
Under 3.5 74.39%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 83.76%
Under 0.5 16.24%
Over 1.5 54.23%
Under 1.5 45.76%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 52.57%
Under 0.5 47.43%
Over 1.5 17.19%
Under 1.5 82.81%

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 62.91%
Draw 22.26%
RB Leipzig 14.81%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 14%
2-0 @ 12.72%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 5.75%
4-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 62.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.26%
RB Leipzig
0-1 @ 5.75%
1-2 @ 3.9%
0-2 @ 2.14%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 14.81%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 24, 2020 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Neymar 11' goal
  • Neymar 40' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 41' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 77' yellowcard
  • Ander Herrera 82' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 2'
Champions League
Nov 4, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Dayot Upamecano 15' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Konate 25' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 42' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 57' goal
  • goal Angel di Maria 6'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 19'
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 37'
  • yellowcard Layvin Kurzawa 68'
  • redcard Idrissa Gueye 69'
  • redcard Presnel Kimpembe 90'+5'
Champions League
Aug 18, 2020 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Konrad Laimer 61' yellowcard
  • Marcel Halstenberg 79' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 79' yellowcard
  • goal Marquinhos 13'
  • goal Angel di Maria 42'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 45'+3'
  • goal Juan Bernat 56'

Build-up

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