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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
22.74% | 22.27% | 54.98% |
Both teams to score 58.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% | 41.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% | 63.5% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.32% | 31.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.91% | 68.09% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.11% | 14.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.77% | 43.23% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 5.93% 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.12% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.64% Total : 22.74% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.55% 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-3 @ 5.43% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.97% 0-4 @ 2.59% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.13% 0-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.96% Total : 54.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |