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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 22.74% | 22.27% | 54.98% |
| Both teams to score 58.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% | 41.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% | 31.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% | 68.09% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% | 14.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.77% | 43.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 5.93% 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.12% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.64% Total : 22.74% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.55% 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-3 @ 5.43% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.97% 0-4 @ 2.59% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.13% 0-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.96% Total : 54.98% |