Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 0-3 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 9.08% | 15.72% | 75.2% |
| Both teams to score 46.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.16% | 38.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% | 61.15% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.42% | 48.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.35% | 83.65% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.26% | 8.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.97% | 30.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 3.06% 2-1 @ 2.7% 2-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.08% | 1-1 @ 7.47% 0-0 @ 4.24% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.72% Total : 15.72% | 0-2 @ 12.61% 0-1 @ 10.34% 0-3 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 9.11% 1-3 @ 7.4% 0-4 @ 6.25% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-5 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-5 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-6 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.95% Total : 75.19% |