Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Metz |
| 40.89% | 28.14% | 30.97% |
| Both teams to score 46.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% | 59.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% | 79.8% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% | 28.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% | 64.32% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% | 34.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% | 71.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.96% |