Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
71.81% | 17.02% | 11.18% |
Both teams to score 50.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.22% | 60.78% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.57% | 9.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.29% | 31.71% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.77% | 44.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.69% | 80.31% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-0 @ 5.4% 4-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 3.05% 5-0 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.8% 6-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.93% Total : 71.8% | 1-1 @ 8.04% 0-0 @ 4.17% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.94% Total : 17.02% | 0-1 @ 3.4% 1-2 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.05% Total : 11.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |