Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
0 - 2
PSG

Magnetti (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Faivre (37' og.), Mbappe (71')
Herrera (27'), Neymar (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
21.28%	22.32%	56.4%

Both teams to score 55.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91%

43.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51%

65.49%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.88%

34.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19%

70.81%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.9%

15.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.35%

43.64%

Score Analysis

Brest 21.28%

Paris Saint-Germain 56.4%

Draw 22.31%

Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.63% 1-0 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.28%	1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 5.32% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.31%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 9.21% 1-3 @ 6.24% 0-3 @ 5.8% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 2.95% 0-4 @ 2.74% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.4%