Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

Apr 24, 2021 at 4pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
1 - 3
PSG

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbappe (4', 59'), Centonze (46'), Icardi (89' pen.)
Angban (15'), Verratti (37'), Mbappe (58'), Kurzawa (60'), Herrera (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-3 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Metz win it was 2-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
10.77%	16.05%	73.18%

Both teams to score 52.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.12%

34.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.14%

56.87%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.49%

42.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.13%

78.88%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.78%

8.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.23%

28.77%

Score Analysis

Metz 10.77%

Paris Saint-Germain 73.18%

Draw 16.05%

Metz	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 3.2% 1-0 @ 2.99% 2-0 @ 1.28% 3-2 @ 1.14% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.26% Total : 10.77%	1-1 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 3.99% 0-0 @ 3.5% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.05%	0-2 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-3 @ 9.09% 0-1 @ 8.74% 1-3 @ 7.77% 0-4 @ 5.68% 1-4 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 3.33% 0-5 @ 2.84% 1-5 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 2.08% 0-6 @ 1.18% 2-5 @ 1.04% 1-6 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.92% Total : 73.18%